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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.87+7.29vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.76+6.79vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.89vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.58+5.22vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.43+4.88vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+1.29vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+1.64vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.38+2.07vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.96-1.42vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.29+0.83vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.92+1.20vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.05+0.04vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.54-3.66vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.74-5.67vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.56-5.69vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.03-4.24vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.24-6.12vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.23-7.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.29Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.79Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.22Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.88Stanford University2.430.0%1st Place
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7.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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10.07George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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7.58University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.83Connecticut College2.290.1%1st Place
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12.2Boston College1.920.0%1st Place
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12.04Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.34Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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8.33Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.31Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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11.76Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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10.88University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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10.66University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly McGlynn | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Marly Isler | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Laura Dunphy | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% |
| India Johnstone | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% |
| Amina Brown | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% |
| Fiona Walsh | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 15.6% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 15.4% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% |
| Sarah Streater | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 13.2% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.