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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.76+7.75vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.58+7.58vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.23+8.10vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.38+6.02vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.96+2.60vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.43+3.92vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.56+2.34vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.54+1.42vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-0.45vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.29+0.81vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-3.58vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.87-3.57vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-7.36vs Predicted
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14Boston College1.92-2.24vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.24-4.30vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.03-4.24vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.05-5.23vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.74-9.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.75Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.58Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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11.1University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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10.02George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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7.6University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.92Stanford University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.34Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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9.42Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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8.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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10.81Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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7.42St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.43Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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5.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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11.76Boston College1.920.0%1st Place
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10.7University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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11.76Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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11.77Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.41Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marly Isler | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% |
| India Johnstone | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% |
| Amina Brown | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% |
| Laura Dunphy | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% |
| Carolyn Smith | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% |
| Dana Rohde | 13.7% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Fiona Walsh | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 14.7% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% |
| Sarah Streater | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 12.6% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 13.3% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.