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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.73+5.07vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.63+1.88vs Predicted
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3Drexel University1.75+5.97vs Predicted
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4Washington College3.65-0.02vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College2.88+0.65vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-2.77vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University0.80+4.52vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.79-2.06vs Predicted
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9Villanova University1.80-0.07vs Predicted
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10Princeton University2.30-2.66vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.10+2.67vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia1.83-3.26vs Predicted
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13Columbia University-0.77+1.80vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University0.98-2.83vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.61-5.68vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-0.14-2.29vs Predicted
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17University of Delaware-1.62-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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3.88University of Pennsylvania3.630.2%1st Place
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8.97Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
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3.98Washington College3.650.2%1st Place
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5.65Ocean County College2.880.1%1st Place
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3.23St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.2%1st Place
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11.52Rutgers University0.800.0%1st Place
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5.94U. S. Naval Academy2.790.1%1st Place
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8.93Villanova University1.800.0%1st Place
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7.34Princeton University2.300.0%1st Place
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13.67University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.100.0%1st Place
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8.74University of Virginia1.830.0%1st Place
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14.8Columbia University-0.770.0%1st Place
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11.17Monmouth University0.980.0%1st Place
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9.32Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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13.71Penn State University-0.140.0%1st Place
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16.09University of Delaware-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Sachs | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Halsey Richartz | 18.6% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joan Boyle | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Michael Whitford | 16.9% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Kennedy | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fletcher Sims | 24.0% | 22.1% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ross Nuechterlein | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 0.8% |
| James Allsopp | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sayre | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mary Gamber | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Byron Bell | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 10.6% | 17.0% | 20.0% | 23.3% | 6.8% |
| Madeline Gill | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Barczewski | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 19.7% | 31.2% | 22.2% |
| Paul Luisi | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Victoria Miller | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Snyder | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 17.1% | 23.2% | 19.3% | 7.0% |
| Adrienne Bourguet | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 16.3% | 62.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.