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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.99vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.58+7.57vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+5.88vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.76+4.35vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.23+5.71vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.96+1.66vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.92+5.07vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.54+1.44vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.38+1.16vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.43+0.25vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.03+0.81vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.74-2.99vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.87-5.09vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.24-3.57vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-7.76vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.29-5.39vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.05-5.31vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.56-8.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.57Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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8.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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8.35Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.71University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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7.66University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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12.07Boston College1.920.0%1st Place
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9.44Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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10.16George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.25Stanford University2.430.1%1st Place
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11.81Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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9.01Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.91Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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10.43University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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7.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.61Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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11.69Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.21Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 12.0% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% |
| Laura Dunphy | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% |
| Marly Isler | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% |
| Amina Brown | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Fiona Walsh | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 15.6% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% |
| India Johnstone | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 13.8% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% |
| Carolyn Smith | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 13.6% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.