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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.96vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.96+5.86vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.76+5.72vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.38+6.06vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+2.27vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.43+3.95vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.29+3.52vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.23+2.78vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-0.43vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.58-0.42vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.54-1.34vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.87-3.58vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.74-4.54vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.24-3.59vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.56-5.68vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.05-4.30vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.03-5.21vs Predicted
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18Boston College1.92-6.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.86University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.72Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.06George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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7.27St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.95Stanford University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.52Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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10.78University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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8.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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9.58Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.66Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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8.42Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.46Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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10.41University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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9.32Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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11.7Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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11.79Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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11.96Boston College1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Amina Brown | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Marly Isler | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| India Johnstone | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% |
| Carolyn Smith | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% |
| Laura Dunphy | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 14.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 15.1% |
| Fiona Walsh | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.