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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.74+7.84vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.43+8.21vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.87+5.26vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.24+6.63vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.23+5.71vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.58+3.33vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-1.21vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.54+1.39vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.96-1.39vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.38+0.39vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.76-2.30vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.92+0.44vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.03-1.52vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.56-4.91vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-7.81vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.05-4.31vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.29-6.25vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-9.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.84Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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10.21Stanford University2.430.0%1st Place
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8.26Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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10.63University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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10.71University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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9.33Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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5.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.39Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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7.61University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.39George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.7Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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12.44Boston College1.920.0%1st Place
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11.48Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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9.09Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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7.19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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11.69Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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10.75Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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8.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% |
| Dana Rohde | 12.5% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Amina Brown | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| India Johnstone | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% |
| Marly Isler | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% |
| Fiona Walsh | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 18.5% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 11.9% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Carolyn Smith | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 13.1% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% |
| Laura Dunphy | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.