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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.96+6.93vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.76+6.73vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.54+6.74vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.74+4.50vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.38+5.08vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.23+4.79vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.58+2.30vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.24+2.68vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.03+2.69vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.43+0.21vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-2.22vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.87-3.55vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-5.83vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.05-2.76vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-9.29vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.29-5.37vs Predicted
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17Boston College1.92-4.79vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.56-8.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.93University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.73Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.74Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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8.5Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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10.08George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.79University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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9.3Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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10.68University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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11.69Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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10.21Stanford University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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8.45Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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11.24Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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5.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.63Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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12.21Boston College1.920.0%1st Place
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9.17Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amina Brown | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Marly Isler | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% |
| India Johnstone | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% |
| Sarah Streater | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.5% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% |
| Laura Dunphy | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.9% |
| Dana Rohde | 12.4% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% |
| Fiona Walsh | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 16.8% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.