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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.88vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.23+9.05vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.74+5.78vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.96+3.49vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.43+4.78vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.87+1.98vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.24+3.62vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.81vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.05+2.52vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.58-0.49vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-2.29vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.54-2.17vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.38-3.09vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.76-5.90vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.56-5.78vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.03-4.37vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.98-5.07vs Predicted
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18Boston College1.92-6.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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11.05University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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8.78Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.49University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.78Stanford University2.430.0%1st Place
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7.98Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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10.62University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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7.19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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11.52Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.51Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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9.83Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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9.91George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.1Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.22Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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11.63Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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11.93Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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11.85Boston College1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 11.7% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% |
| Amina Brown | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 9.9% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Laura Dunphy | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% |
| India Johnstone | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% |
| Marly Isler | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Sarah Streater | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 11.4% | 13.3% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 14.6% |
| Fiona Walsh | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.