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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.23+9.96vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.43+8.10vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.96+4.81vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.24+6.58vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+3.54vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+1.26vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.92+5.07vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.76+0.35vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.54+0.40vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-4.15vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.56-1.52vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.98+0.13vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.74-4.59vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.58-5.07vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.03-3.45vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.87-7.92vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.38-6.78vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.05-6.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.96University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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10.1Stanford University2.430.0%1st Place
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7.81University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.58University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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8.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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7.26St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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12.07Boston College1.920.0%1st Place
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8.35Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.4Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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5.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.48Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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12.13Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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8.41Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.93Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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11.55Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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8.08Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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10.22George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.29Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.3% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 9.4% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% |
| Amina Brown | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% |
| Laura Dunphy | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
| Carolyn Smith | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Fiona Walsh | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 13.9% |
| Marly Isler | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% |
| Dana Rohde | 13.4% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 15.9% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Sarah Streater | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 11.5% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| India Johnstone | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.