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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.76+6.37vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.58+5.10vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.87+3.07vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.56+3.40vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+0.45vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.24+2.58vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.96-1.16vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.54-0.74vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.38-1.13vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.92-0.22vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.43-3.23vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.98-2.49vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.03-3.77vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-7.54vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.74-8.35vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.23-7.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.1Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.07Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.4Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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6.45St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.58University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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6.84University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.26Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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8.87George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.78Boston College1.920.0%1st Place
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8.77Stanford University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.51Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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10.23Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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7.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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7.65Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.65University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marly Isler | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 9.6% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% |
| Amina Brown | 11.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% |
| India Johnstone | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% |
| Fiona Walsh | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 16.1% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% |
| Emilia Clementi | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 16.8% |
| Sarah Streater | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 13.2% |
| Laura Dunphy | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.