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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.56+7.07vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.96+4.63vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.92+7.72vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+2.54vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.87+2.12vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.54+1.44vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.76-0.38vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.74-1.59vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.43-1.31vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.58-2.73vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-4.34vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.98-2.54vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.03-3.75vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.23-5.57vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.24-6.37vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.38-7.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.07Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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6.63University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.72Boston College1.920.0%1st Place
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6.54St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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7.12Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.44Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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7.62Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.41Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.69Stanford University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.27Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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10.46Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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10.25Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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9.43University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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9.63University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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9.07George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Koos | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Amina Brown | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| Fiona Walsh | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 15.4% |
| Carolyn Smith | 8.8% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| Marly Isler | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.3% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% |
| Laura Dunphy | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% |
| Emilia Clementi | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 16.3% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 14.3% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 7.2% |
| India Johnstone | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.