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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.96+5.53vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.56+6.18vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.43+4.79vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.03+5.45vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.58+2.25vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.87+0.20vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.38+1.05vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.76-1.66vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-2.47vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.54-2.54vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.92-1.31vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.98-2.51vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-7.67vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.23-5.55vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.74-8.29vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.24-7.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.18Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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8.79Stanford University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.45Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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8.25Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.2Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.05George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.34Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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8.46Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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10.69Boston College1.920.0%1st Place
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10.49Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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6.33St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.45University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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7.71Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.54University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amina Brown | 10.4% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 3.4% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 15.0% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% |
| India Johnstone | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% |
| Marly Isler | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Laura Dunphy | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% |
| Fiona Walsh | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 17.6% |
| Emilia Clementi | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 16.6% |
| Carolyn Smith | 9.7% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.