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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rutgers University0.80+10.34vs Predicted
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2Monmouth University0.98+9.00vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.79+3.01vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania3.63-0.01vs Predicted
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5Washington College3.65-1.15vs Predicted
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6Princeton University2.30+1.49vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.80+1.80vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.73-1.92vs Predicted
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9Ocean County College2.88-3.18vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-6.91vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.61-1.56vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia1.83-3.36vs Predicted
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13Drexel University1.75-3.98vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.10-0.28vs Predicted
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15Columbia University-0.77-0.19vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-0.14-2.18vs Predicted
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17University of Delaware-1.62-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.34Rutgers University0.800.0%1st Place
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11.0Monmouth University0.980.0%1st Place
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6.01U. S. Naval Academy2.790.1%1st Place
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3.99University of Pennsylvania3.630.2%1st Place
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3.85Washington College3.650.2%1st Place
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7.49Princeton University2.300.0%1st Place
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8.8Villanova University1.800.0%1st Place
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6.08Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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5.82Ocean County College2.880.1%1st Place
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3.09St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.3%1st Place
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9.44Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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8.64University of Virginia1.830.0%1st Place
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9.02Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
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13.72University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.100.0%1st Place
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14.81Columbia University-0.770.0%1st Place
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13.82Penn State University-0.140.0%1st Place
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16.07University of Delaware-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ross Nuechterlein | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 10.1% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Paul Luisi | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| James Allsopp | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Halsey Richartz | 16.2% | 15.9% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 18.4% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Gamber | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sayre | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Sachs | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Kennedy | 6.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fletcher Sims | 26.2% | 21.9% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Gill | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joan Boyle | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Byron Bell | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 22.7% | 22.4% | 7.0% |
| Ben Barczewski | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 16.2% | 31.8% | 22.6% |
| Jacob Snyder | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 16.2% | 24.1% | 20.2% | 7.6% |
| Adrienne Bourguet | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 9.0% | 18.1% | 61.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.