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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.87+6.26vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.58+6.39vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.76+4.74vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37+1.67vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.74+2.89vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.03+4.61vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.54+1.73vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.43+0.93vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-1.16vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.92+0.04vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.56-3.42vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.98-2.25vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.24-4.27vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-8.50vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.96-8.96vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.38-7.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.26Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.39Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.74Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.67University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.89Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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10.61Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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8.73Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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8.93Stanford University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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11.04Boston College1.920.0%1st Place
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8.58Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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10.75Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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9.73University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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6.5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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7.04University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.31George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly McGlynn | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% |
| Marly Isler | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.4% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Sarah Streater | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 15.5% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% |
| Laura Dunphy | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% |
| Fiona Walsh | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 17.2% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 17.7% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Amina Brown | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| India Johnstone | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.