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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.92+9.74vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.74+5.77vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.87+4.38vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.43+5.17vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+1.72vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.54+2.71vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.58+1.59vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.98+2.66vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.76-1.30vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.37-5.48vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.96-4.97vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-5.12vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.24-4.25vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.38-5.91vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.56-7.39vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.03-6.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.74Boston College1.920.0%1st Place
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7.77Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.38Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.17Stanford University2.430.0%1st Place
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6.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.71Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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8.59Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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10.66Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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7.7Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.52University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.03University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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9.75University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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9.09George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.61Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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10.68Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiona Walsh | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 17.2% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% |
| Carolyn Smith | 8.5% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 17.1% |
| Marly Isler | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% |
| Sarah Hermus | 13.0% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Amina Brown | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Laura Dunphy | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% |
| India Johnstone | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.7% |
| Sarah Streater | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.