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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University1.06+1.81vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University0.51+1.82vs Predicted
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3Hope College0.28+1.19vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-0.16+0.97vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University1.06-3.10vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University0.17-2.65vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-0.66-2.23vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-1.84-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81Grand Valley State University1.060.3%1st Place
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3.82Western Michigan University0.510.1%1st Place
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4.19Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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4.97Michigan Technological University-0.160.1%1st Place
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2.9Michigan State University1.060.2%1st Place
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4.35Northern Michigan University0.170.1%1st Place
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5.77University of Michigan-0.660.0%1st Place
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7.19Western Michigan University-1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Lee | 28.0% | 21.8% | 17.9% | 15.5% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Jack Greve | 14.5% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 17.5% | 16.1% | 12.5% | 7.3% | 1.7% |
| Libby Reeg | 10.7% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 16.8% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 9.9% | 3.1% |
| Nick Lane | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 15.4% | 20.9% | 19.5% | 7.4% |
| Matthew Declercq | 24.8% | 24.0% | 18.3% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| David Gates | 9.6% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 18.0% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 3.8% |
| James Hewitt | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 17.8% | 29.8% | 18.0% |
| Elliott Klose | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 16.8% | 65.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.