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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University0.51+2.72vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University1.06+0.92vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-0.16+1.92vs Predicted
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4Northern Michigan University0.17+0.38vs Predicted
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5Hope College0.28-0.80vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University1.06-3.11vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-0.66-2.24vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-1.84-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72Western Michigan University0.510.2%1st Place
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2.92Michigan State University1.060.2%1st Place
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4.92Michigan Technological University-0.160.1%1st Place
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4.38Northern Michigan University0.170.1%1st Place
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4.2Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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2.89Grand Valley State University1.060.3%1st Place
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5.76University of Michigan-0.660.0%1st Place
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7.21Western Michigan University-1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Greve | 15.6% | 16.0% | 16.9% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Matthew Declercq | 24.0% | 24.0% | 17.7% | 15.3% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Nick Lane | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 17.1% | 18.0% | 20.3% | 7.0% |
| David Gates | 9.9% | 10.7% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 18.3% | 12.0% | 3.9% |
| Libby Reeg | 10.9% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 11.1% | 2.3% |
| Elliot Lee | 25.6% | 21.9% | 19.6% | 14.5% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| James Hewitt | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 31.0% | 17.6% |
| Elliott Klose | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 16.8% | 66.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.