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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University1.06+1.83vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-0.16+3.02vs Predicted
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3Northern Michigan University0.17+1.36vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University1.06-1.09vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University0.51-1.25vs Predicted
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6Hope College0.28-1.84vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-0.66-2.22vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-1.84-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83Michigan State University1.060.3%1st Place
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5.02Michigan Technological University-0.160.1%1st Place
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4.36Northern Michigan University0.170.1%1st Place
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2.91Grand Valley State University1.060.3%1st Place
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3.75Western Michigan University0.510.1%1st Place
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4.16Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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5.78University of Michigan-0.660.0%1st Place
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7.19Western Michigan University-1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Declercq | 26.9% | 21.5% | 20.4% | 14.5% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Nick Lane | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 17.2% | 19.9% | 19.2% | 8.3% |
| David Gates | 10.7% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 17.8% | 13.0% | 3.2% |
| Elliot Lee | 25.2% | 23.3% | 16.6% | 16.5% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Jack Greve | 12.7% | 16.9% | 18.7% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 6.1% | 1.0% |
| Libby Reeg | 11.7% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 16.8% | 15.1% | 10.6% | 2.7% |
| James Hewitt | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 16.0% | 31.1% | 17.8% |
| Elliott Klose | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 14.9% | 66.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.