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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University1.06+1.83vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University1.06+0.92vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-0.16+1.92vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University0.51-0.22vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University0.17-1.64vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.66-1.29vs Predicted
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8Hope College0.28-3.74vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-1.84-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83Grand Valley State University1.060.3%1st Place
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2.92Michigan State University1.060.2%1st Place
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4.92Michigan Technological University-0.160.1%1st Place
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3.78Western Michigan University0.510.1%1st Place
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4.36Northern Michigan University0.170.1%1st Place
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5.71University of Michigan-0.660.0%1st Place
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4.26Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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7.21Western Michigan University-1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Lee | 26.7% | 23.6% | 18.9% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Declercq | 24.4% | 23.5% | 17.4% | 15.7% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Nick Lane | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 21.2% | 19.6% | 7.1% |
| Jack Greve | 14.6% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 6.2% | 1.5% |
| David Gates | 9.4% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 17.5% | 12.4% | 3.1% |
| James Hewitt | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 16.5% | 28.4% | 17.3% |
| Libby Reeg | 11.5% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 17.4% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 3.2% |
| Elliott Klose | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 15.8% | 67.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.