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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University-0.16+3.87vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University1.06+0.88vs Predicted
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3Northern Michigan University0.17+1.41vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University1.06-1.08vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University0.51-1.22vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-0.66-0.31vs Predicted
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7Hope College0.28-2.76vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-1.84-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87Michigan Technological University-0.160.1%1st Place
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2.88Grand Valley State University1.060.3%1st Place
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4.41Northern Michigan University0.170.1%1st Place
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2.92Michigan State University1.060.3%1st Place
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3.78Western Michigan University0.510.1%1st Place
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5.69University of Michigan-0.660.0%1st Place
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4.24Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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7.2Western Michigan University-1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Lane | 6.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 21.0% | 18.3% | 6.4% |
| Elliot Lee | 25.5% | 23.0% | 18.6% | 14.6% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| David Gates | 10.8% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 18.1% | 13.0% | 4.4% |
| Matthew Declercq | 26.4% | 20.0% | 19.7% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Jack Greve | 13.6% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 7.0% | 1.1% |
| James Hewitt | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 27.2% | 17.5% |
| Libby Reeg | 11.3% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 3.2% |
| Elliott Klose | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 15.6% | 66.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.