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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University-0.16+3.90vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University1.06+0.92vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University0.51+0.79vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-0.66+1.74vs Predicted
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5Northern Michigan University0.17-0.64vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University1.06-3.15vs Predicted
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7Hope College0.28-2.78vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-1.84-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.9Michigan Technological University-0.160.1%1st Place
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2.92Grand Valley State University1.060.2%1st Place
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3.79Western Michigan University0.510.2%1st Place
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5.74University of Michigan-0.660.0%1st Place
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4.36Northern Michigan University0.170.1%1st Place
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2.85Michigan State University1.060.3%1st Place
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4.22Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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7.21Western Michigan University-1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Lane | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 16.6% | 18.8% | 19.2% | 7.0% |
| Elliot Lee | 24.3% | 23.7% | 19.2% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Jack Greve | 15.5% | 13.8% | 16.8% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 6.8% | 2.0% |
| James Hewitt | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 17.4% | 29.5% | 17.2% |
| David Gates | 9.5% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 16.5% | 12.4% | 3.8% |
| Matthew Declercq | 26.6% | 22.1% | 17.9% | 16.1% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Libby Reeg | 11.6% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 11.0% | 3.4% |
| Elliott Klose | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 16.2% | 66.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.