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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University1.06+1.65vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-0.16+2.71vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University1.06-0.31vs Predicted
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4Northern Michigan University0.17+0.15vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.66+0.50vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University0.51-3.49vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.83-2.22vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-1.84-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65Michigan State University1.060.3%1st Place
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4.71Michigan Technological University-0.160.1%1st Place
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2.69Grand Valley State University1.060.3%1st Place
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4.15Northern Michigan University0.170.1%1st Place
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5.5University of Michigan-0.660.0%1st Place
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3.51Western Michigan University0.510.2%1st Place
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5.78Hope College-0.830.0%1st Place
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7.02Western Michigan University-1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Declercq | 28.7% | 26.3% | 18.1% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Nick Lane | 7.7% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 20.0% | 18.3% | 13.7% | 6.3% |
| Elliot Lee | 28.0% | 23.7% | 19.5% | 14.8% | 9.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| David Gates | 10.7% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 16.9% | 16.9% | 16.5% | 8.9% | 2.5% |
| James Hewitt | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 21.3% | 23.8% | 13.1% |
| Jack Greve | 15.9% | 16.5% | 19.5% | 18.7% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Evelyn Ritter | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 17.9% | 26.4% | 19.6% |
| Elliott Klose | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 20.3% | 57.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.