← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Michigan State University1.06+1.66vs Predicted
-
2University of Michigan-0.66+3.52vs Predicted
-
3Michigan Technological University-0.16+1.66vs Predicted
-
4Western Michigan University0.51-0.46vs Predicted
-
5Grand Valley State University1.06-2.27vs Predicted
-
6Northern Michigan University0.17-1.89vs Predicted
-
8Western Michigan University-1.84-0.94vs Predicted
-
9Hope College-0.83-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.66Michigan State University1.060.3%1st Place
-
5.52University of Michigan-0.660.1%1st Place
-
4.66Michigan Technological University-0.160.1%1st Place
-
3.54Western Michigan University0.510.2%1st Place
-
2.73Grand Valley State University1.060.3%1st Place
-
4.11Northern Michigan University0.170.1%1st Place
-
7.06Western Michigan University-1.840.0%1st Place
-
5.72Hope College-0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Declercq | 28.6% | 24.1% | 20.1% | 14.4% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| James Hewitt | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 14.0% | 21.0% | 25.6% | 13.0% |
| Nick Lane | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 21.4% | 14.0% | 5.3% |
| Jack Greve | 15.2% | 16.6% | 19.2% | 17.9% | 16.3% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Elliot Lee | 26.5% | 26.0% | 17.8% | 14.6% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| David Gates | 10.8% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 18.2% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 9.6% | 2.4% |
| Elliott Klose | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 15.7% | 62.1% |
| Evelyn Ritter | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 17.9% | 27.5% | 16.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.