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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University2.30+6.16vs Predicted
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2Washington College3.65+1.83vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.63+0.93vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-0.83vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.73+1.09vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.79+0.16vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.80+1.82vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University0.98+2.97vs Predicted
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9Columbia University-0.77+5.95vs Predicted
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10Ocean County College2.88-4.28vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia1.83-2.14vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.61-2.65vs Predicted
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13Drexel University1.75-3.97vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.10-0.33vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-0.14-1.36vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University0.80-4.40vs Predicted
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17University of Delaware-1.62-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.16Princeton University2.300.1%1st Place
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3.83Washington College3.650.2%1st Place
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3.93University of Pennsylvania3.630.2%1st Place
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3.17St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.3%1st Place
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6.09Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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6.16U. S. Naval Academy2.790.1%1st Place
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8.82Villanova University1.800.0%1st Place
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10.97Monmouth University0.980.0%1st Place
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14.95Columbia University-0.770.0%1st Place
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5.72Ocean County College2.880.1%1st Place
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8.86University of Virginia1.830.0%1st Place
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9.35Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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9.03Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
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13.67University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.100.0%1st Place
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13.64Penn State University-0.140.0%1st Place
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11.6Rutgers University0.800.0%1st Place
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16.07University of Delaware-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Gamber | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 18.3% | 14.9% | 17.2% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Halsey Richartz | 15.6% | 18.3% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fletcher Sims | 25.7% | 20.9% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Allsopp | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sayre | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Paul Luisi | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 9.1% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Ben Barczewski | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 17.0% | 32.9% | 22.5% |
| Tyler Kennedy | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Gill | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Joan Boyle | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Byron Bell | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 15.8% | 21.5% | 20.8% | 7.6% |
| Jacob Snyder | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 17.1% | 24.2% | 18.3% | 7.6% |
| Ross Nuechterlein | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Adrienne Bourguet | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 9.5% | 18.0% | 61.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.