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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.84+2.50vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.48+2.67vs Predicted
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3Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36+1.72vs Predicted
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4University of Central Florida-0.20+2.58vs Predicted
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5University of Miami-0.07+0.60vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-0.52+1.29vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida-0.16-1.01vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.50-3.77vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.11-3.02vs Predicted
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10University of Florida-1.04-2.54vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-2.35-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5Jacksonville University0.8422.6%1st Place
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4.67Jacksonville University0.4811.8%1st Place
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4.72Palm Beach Atlantic University0.3612.3%1st Place
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6.58University of Central Florida-0.206.3%1st Place
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5.6University of Miami-0.079.3%1st Place
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7.29Embry-Riddle University-0.523.5%1st Place
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5.99University of South Florida-0.167.4%1st Place
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4.23University of Miami0.5015.2%1st Place
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5.98Rollins College-0.116.7%1st Place
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7.46University of Florida-1.044.0%1st Place
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10.0Florida Institute of Technology-2.351.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefanos Pappas | 22.6% | 17.7% | 16.9% | 13.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Joe Seiffert | 11.8% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Dawson Kohl | 12.3% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Charlie Eckert | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 4.7% |
| Oliver West | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 20.2% | 7.9% |
| Beatriz Newland | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 2.6% |
| Brendan Jay | 15.2% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Jack Adderley | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 2.2% |
| Ayden Feria | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 22.4% | 9.6% |
| Abigail Hesterhagen | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 10.9% | 69.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.