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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.81+0.54vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University0.34-0.06vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-0.58+0.21vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.58+0.79vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-0.05-2.51vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-2.11-0.57vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.93-1.73vs Predicted
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9Northern Michigan University-1.37-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.54University of Michigan1.810.6%1st Place
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2.94Western Michigan University0.340.1%1st Place
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4.21Grand Valley State University-0.580.1%1st Place
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5.79Hope College-1.580.0%1st Place
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3.49Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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6.43Western Michigan University-2.110.0%1st Place
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6.27Michigan State University-1.930.0%1st Place
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5.34Northern Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Brown | 63.0% | 24.9% | 8.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mabie | 15.0% | 27.6% | 26.2% | 17.3% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Addison Amstutz | 6.4% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 21.4% | 19.1% | 14.8% | 7.3% | 2.4% |
| John Stack | 1.6% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 15.4% | 19.0% | 25.1% | 17.7% |
| Joel Florek | 9.3% | 18.9% | 24.8% | 22.0% | 14.6% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Robert O'Brien | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 10.6% | 17.5% | 21.2% | 37.1% |
| Ava Karaitis | 1.6% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 24.0% | 31.9% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 1.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 14.4% | 19.4% | 21.6% | 18.9% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.