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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.81+0.48vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University0.34+0.81vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-0.05+0.29vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-1.93+2.06vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-1.43+0.35vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-1.37-0.81vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.58-1.41vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-2.11-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.48University of Michigan1.810.7%1st Place
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2.81Western Michigan University0.340.1%1st Place
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3.29Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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6.06Michigan State University-1.930.0%1st Place
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5.35Grand Valley State University-1.430.0%1st Place
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5.19Northern Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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5.59Hope College-1.580.0%1st Place
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6.23Western Michigan University-2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Brown | 65.3% | 24.3% | 7.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mabie | 14.8% | 31.1% | 28.1% | 14.9% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Joel Florek | 10.5% | 21.1% | 27.7% | 21.9% | 10.7% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Ava Karaitis | 0.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 22.5% | 27.0% |
| Gary MIcu Jr | 2.8% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 14.9% | 18.0% | 21.5% | 18.1% | 11.5% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 3.0% | 5.1% | 9.8% | 16.8% | 20.2% | 18.6% | 15.1% | 11.4% |
| John Stack | 1.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 17.2% | 16.8% | 20.6% | 17.8% |
| Robert O'Brien | 0.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 17.5% | 21.8% | 31.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.