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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.81+0.48vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University0.34+0.80vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-0.05+0.28vs Predicted
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4Hope College-1.58+1.57vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-1.43-0.67vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-1.93-0.95vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University-1.37-2.72vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-2.11-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.48University of Michigan1.810.7%1st Place
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2.8Western Michigan University0.340.1%1st Place
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3.28Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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5.57Hope College-1.580.0%1st Place
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5.33Grand Valley State University-1.430.0%1st Place
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6.05Michigan State University-1.930.0%1st Place
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5.28Northern Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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6.21Western Michigan University-2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Brown | 65.4% | 24.0% | 7.9% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mabie | 14.8% | 30.8% | 28.6% | 14.8% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Joel Florek | 10.7% | 20.7% | 28.1% | 21.6% | 11.3% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| John Stack | 1.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 18.9% | 19.9% | 16.4% |
| Gary MIcu Jr | 2.8% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 14.5% | 20.4% | 18.9% | 18.4% | 11.6% |
| Ava Karaitis | 1.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 20.1% | 28.5% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 2.4% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 16.1% | 16.7% | 20.4% | 15.9% | 12.9% |
| Robert O'Brien | 0.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 23.8% | 30.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.