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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University0.34+1.94vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-0.05+1.49vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-1.93+3.19vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.81-2.47vs Predicted
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5Northern Michigan University-1.37+0.43vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-2.11-0.53vs Predicted
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8Hope College-1.58-2.21vs Predicted
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9Grand Valley State University-0.58-4.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94Western Michigan University0.340.1%1st Place
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3.49Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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6.19Michigan State University-1.930.0%1st Place
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1.53University of Michigan1.810.6%1st Place
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5.43Northern Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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6.47Western Michigan University-2.110.0%1st Place
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5.79Hope College-1.580.0%1st Place
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4.17Grand Valley State University-0.580.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mabie | 14.8% | 27.1% | 26.9% | 17.2% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Joel Florek | 9.6% | 19.0% | 24.5% | 21.9% | 13.3% | 8.7% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Ava Karaitis | 1.7% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 16.9% | 24.8% | 29.0% |
| Kyle Brown | 62.7% | 25.3% | 9.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 2.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 19.0% | 22.3% | 20.0% | 11.0% |
| Robert O'Brien | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 15.7% | 22.2% | 38.0% |
| John Stack | 2.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 15.5% | 20.6% | 22.4% | 19.1% |
| Addison Amstutz | 5.8% | 12.7% | 16.0% | 23.0% | 21.1% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.