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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.81+0.51vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University0.34+0.95vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-1.93+2.19vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-0.05-1.52vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-1.37-0.56vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-2.11-0.53vs Predicted
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8Hope College-1.58-2.22vs Predicted
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9Grand Valley State University-0.58-4.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.51University of Michigan1.810.6%1st Place
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2.95Western Michigan University0.340.1%1st Place
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6.19Michigan State University-1.930.0%1st Place
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3.48Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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5.44Northern Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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6.47Western Michigan University-2.110.0%1st Place
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5.78Hope College-1.580.0%1st Place
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4.17Grand Valley State University-0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Brown | 64.2% | 24.6% | 8.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mabie | 14.3% | 29.1% | 24.1% | 18.8% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ava Karaitis | 1.8% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 25.1% | 29.0% |
| Joel Florek | 9.3% | 19.1% | 24.0% | 23.5% | 14.7% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 2.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 19.6% | 22.1% | 21.1% | 10.6% |
| Robert O'Brien | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 16.6% | 22.2% | 37.7% |
| John Stack | 2.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 21.1% | 21.7% | 19.1% |
| Addison Amstutz | 4.4% | 12.7% | 19.6% | 21.8% | 19.4% | 12.6% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.