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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University0.34+1.70vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.81-0.54vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-2.11+1.95vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-1.43+0.04vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.93-0.26vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-1.37-2.10vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-0.05-4.76vs Predicted
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9Hope College-2.96-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7Western Michigan University0.340.2%1st Place
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1.46University of Michigan1.810.7%1st Place
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5.95Western Michigan University-2.110.0%1st Place
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5.04Grand Valley State University-1.430.0%1st Place
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5.74Michigan State University-1.930.0%1st Place
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4.9Northern Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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3.24Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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6.98Hope College-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mabie | 16.9% | 31.1% | 28.9% | 14.8% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Brown | 65.3% | 25.3% | 7.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert O'Brien | 1.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 19.2% | 26.0% | 20.6% |
| Gary MIcu Jr | 1.9% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 18.7% | 23.6% | 20.0% | 12.9% | 7.3% |
| Ava Karaitis | 1.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 11.3% | 18.6% | 20.6% | 24.5% | 14.5% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 2.9% | 6.4% | 11.0% | 19.6% | 20.5% | 21.8% | 12.9% | 4.9% |
| Joel Florek | 9.8% | 21.4% | 30.8% | 19.4% | 12.1% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Gage | 0.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 21.8% | 52.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.