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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.81+0.46vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University0.34-0.27vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-1.43+1.01vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-0.05-1.82vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-2.11-0.02vs Predicted
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7Hope College-2.96-0.02vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.93-2.19vs Predicted
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9Northern Michigan University-1.37-4.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.46University of Michigan1.810.7%1st Place
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2.73Western Michigan University0.340.1%1st Place
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5.01Grand Valley State University-1.430.0%1st Place
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3.18Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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5.98Western Michigan University-2.110.0%1st Place
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6.98Hope College-2.960.0%1st Place
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5.81Michigan State University-1.930.0%1st Place
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4.87Northern Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Brown | 67.1% | 23.1% | 7.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mabie | 14.9% | 34.1% | 26.1% | 16.3% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gary MIcu Jr | 3.2% | 5.7% | 10.8% | 15.9% | 23.6% | 19.1% | 16.0% | 5.7% |
| Joel Florek | 9.5% | 22.5% | 30.8% | 21.9% | 10.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Robert O'Brien | 1.0% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 21.8% | 28.7% | 17.1% |
| Mitchell Gage | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 55.0% |
| Ava Karaitis | 1.7% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 21.8% | 23.7% | 17.2% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 2.2% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 20.4% | 23.5% | 18.6% | 13.1% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.