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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.47+7.65vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.70+5.73vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.96+7.85vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.12+1.85vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.95+1.50vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+3.00vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.83-0.02vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.41+0.56vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-1.35vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-1.92vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.52-2.66vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan2.97-1.12vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.15-3.40vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.45-1.73vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.56-2.93vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.05-5.76vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.74-2.02vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.34-5.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.65Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.73Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.85Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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5.85Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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6.5Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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6.98Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.56University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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7.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.34Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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10.88University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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9.6University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
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12.27Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
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12.07Brown University2.560.0%1st Place
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10.24Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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14.98Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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12.76Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Barbano | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.5% |
| Raul Rios | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| William Macdonald | 10.2% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Michael Croteau | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Alex Ramos | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.0% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Eric Anderson | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 12.1% |
| Timothy Harding | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.3% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% |
| Colin Keil | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 9.4% | 16.9% | 39.9% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.