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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+6.24vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.41+6.94vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.15+7.10vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.05+6.03vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.96+5.45vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.95+0.56vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.12-1.06vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.33vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-1.22vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.70-2.21vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.52-2.64vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.34+1.23vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.56-1.04vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.47-5.84vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-6.11vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan2.97-5.42vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.74-2.05vs Predicted
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18Yale University2.45-5.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.24Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.94University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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10.1University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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10.03Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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10.45Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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6.56Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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5.94Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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7.79Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.36Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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13.23Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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11.96Brown University2.560.0%1st Place
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8.16Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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10.58University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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14.95Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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12.37Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.3% |
| William Macdonald | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Raul Rios | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 18.3% | 16.8% |
| Timothy Harding | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.1% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Alex Ramos | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 3.9% |
| Colin Keil | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 16.3% | 39.6% |
| Eric Anderson | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.