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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University2.30+6.21vs Predicted
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2Rutgers University0.80+9.48vs Predicted
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3Washington College3.65+0.84vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania3.63+0.01vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.61+4.25vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College2.88-0.08vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.79-1.05vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia1.83+0.57vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.73-2.73vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-6.91vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University0.98+0.16vs Predicted
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12Columbia University-0.77+2.90vs Predicted
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13Villanova University1.80-4.09vs Predicted
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14Drexel University1.75-5.00vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.10-1.41vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-0.14-2.21vs Predicted
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17University of Delaware-1.62-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.21Princeton University2.300.1%1st Place
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11.48Rutgers University0.800.0%1st Place
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3.84Washington College3.650.2%1st Place
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4.01University of Pennsylvania3.630.2%1st Place
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9.25Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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5.92Ocean County College2.880.1%1st Place
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5.95U. S. Naval Academy2.790.1%1st Place
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8.57University of Virginia1.830.0%1st Place
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6.27Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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3.09St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.3%1st Place
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11.16Monmouth University0.980.0%1st Place
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14.9Columbia University-0.770.0%1st Place
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8.91Villanova University1.800.0%1st Place
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9.0Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
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13.59University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.100.0%1st Place
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13.79Penn State University-0.140.0%1st Place
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16.07University of Delaware-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Gamber | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ross Nuechterlein | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 16.8% | 16.6% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Michael Whitford | 15.7% | 18.9% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Halsey Richartz | 17.2% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Kennedy | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Allsopp | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Gill | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fletcher Sims | 26.9% | 20.4% | 17.1% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Luisi | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 10.0% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Ben Barczewski | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 17.6% | 31.8% | 23.2% |
| Andrew Sayre | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Joan Boyle | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Byron Bell | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 16.4% | 20.2% | 22.4% | 5.9% |
| Jacob Snyder | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 18.5% | 23.5% | 18.0% | 8.5% |
| Adrienne Bourguet | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 9.7% | 18.0% | 60.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.