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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+5.14vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.70+5.68vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.52+5.45vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+3.70vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.83+1.96vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.95+0.56vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+1.97vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.96+2.46vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan2.97+1.53vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-2.01vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.41-2.20vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.15-1.89vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.05-2.95vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.56-2.21vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.34-2.07vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.47-7.54vs Predicted
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17Yale University2.45-4.32vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.74-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.68Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.45Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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7.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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6.96Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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6.56Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.97St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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10.46Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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10.53University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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7.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.8University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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10.11University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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10.05Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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11.79Brown University2.560.0%1st Place
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12.93Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.46Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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12.68Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
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14.72Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 10.7% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| William Macdonald | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 4.3% |
| Alex Ramos | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 3.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 2.7% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.2% |
| Timothy Harding | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.6% |
| Elise Gehling | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 16.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Eric Anderson | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 14.4% |
| Colin Keil | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 15.8% | 37.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.