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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.49+7.48vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+5.83vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.12+3.03vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+3.67vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.95+1.45vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.70+1.45vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.47+1.37vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+0.83vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.52-0.92vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan2.97+0.73vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.74+3.86vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.41-3.10vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.96-2.63vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.15-4.61vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.56-2.98vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.05-5.83vs Predicted
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17Yale University2.45-4.35vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.34-5.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.48Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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7.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.03Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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6.45Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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7.45Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.37Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.83St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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8.08Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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10.73University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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14.86Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.9University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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10.37Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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9.39University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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12.02Brown University2.560.0%1st Place
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10.17Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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12.65Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
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12.73Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Houck | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Raul Rios | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| William Macdonald | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Alex Ramos | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 4.3% |
| Colin Keil | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 40.3% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 4.3% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Timothy Harding | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.6% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| Eric Anderson | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 13.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.