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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+5.07vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.47+6.62vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.95+3.62vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.49+4.15vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan2.97+5.34vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.70+1.42vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.52+1.16vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.44vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.15+0.66vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.96+0.74vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-1.94vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-3.92vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.45-0.64vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.05-4.18vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.34-2.11vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.56-3.83vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.74-2.10vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont3.41-9.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.62Tufts University3.470.0%1st Place
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6.62Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.15Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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10.34University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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7.42Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.16Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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7.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.66University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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10.74Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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9.06St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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8.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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12.36Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
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9.82Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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12.89Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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12.17Brown University2.560.0%1st Place
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14.9Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.36University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 11.0% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| William Macdonald | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Houck | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% |
| Alex Ramos | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 3.4% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Michael Croteau | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 4.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Eric Anderson | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 12.7% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 15.8% |
| Timothy Harding | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 10.6% |
| Colin Keil | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 15.7% | 39.9% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.