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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+5.04vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+5.82vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.05+7.37vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.95+2.34vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.96+5.36vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.47+2.36vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+0.71vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.70-0.65vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.15+0.65vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.52-1.57vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.41-2.26vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-2.72vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.56-1.07vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.45-1.76vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.34-2.12vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.49-7.71vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.74-2.07vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan2.97-7.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.04Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.37Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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6.34Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.36Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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8.36Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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7.35Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.65University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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8.43Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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8.74University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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9.28St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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11.93Brown University2.560.0%1st Place
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12.24Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
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12.88Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.29Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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14.93Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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10.26University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.3% |
| William Macdonald | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 3.8% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Michael Croteau | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Timothy Harding | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 10.0% |
| Eric Anderson | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 12.9% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 15.5% |
| Scott Houck | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Colin Keil | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 9.9% | 15.1% | 40.5% |
| Alex Ramos | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.