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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+5.05vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+7.14vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.49+5.49vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.95+2.41vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.52+3.11vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.47+2.32vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+0.63vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.41+0.51vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.15+0.64vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.56+2.29vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.70-3.53vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-3.93vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.45-0.65vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.05-4.20vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan2.97-4.59vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.74-1.08vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.96-6.36vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.34-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.05Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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8.49Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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6.41Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.11Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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8.32Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.51University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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9.64University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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12.29Brown University2.560.0%1st Place
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7.47Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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12.35Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
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9.8Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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10.41University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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14.92Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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10.64Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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12.75Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 10.4% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Scott Houck | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| William Macdonald | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
| Timothy Harding | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 12.3% |
| Ryan Astwood | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Eric Anderson | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 11.8% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.3% |
| Alex Ramos | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| Colin Keil | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 40.2% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 4.7% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.