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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+5.10vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+5.99vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.41+5.87vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.95+2.45vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.56+6.98vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.47+2.40vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.49+1.34vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.05+2.14vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-0.06vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.52-1.51vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.23-1.41vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-4.00vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan2.97-2.65vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.45-1.75vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.70-7.59vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.34-2.97vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida3.15-7.11vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.74-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.87University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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6.45Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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11.98Brown University2.560.0%1st Place
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8.4Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.34Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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10.14Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.94St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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8.49Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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9.59Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.35University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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12.25Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
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7.41Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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13.03Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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9.89University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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14.79Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 10.5% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Stewart | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| William Macdonald | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Timothy Harding | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 10.5% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Scott Houck | 7.0% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Michael Croteau | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Alex Ramos | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% |
| Eric Anderson | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 12.4% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Elise Gehling | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 16.3% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Colin Keil | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 39.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.