← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College4.12+5.07vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont3.41+6.92vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.85vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University3.95+2.49vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.49+3.30vs Predicted
-
6Boston University3.70+1.49vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+0.79vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College3.23+1.30vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College3.52-0.87vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-0.76vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University3.05-0.71vs Predicted
-
12University of Michigan2.97-1.09vs Predicted
-
13University of South Florida3.15-3.41vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University3.47-5.87vs Predicted
-
15Yale University2.45-2.48vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University2.34-2.96vs Predicted
-
17Cornell University1.74-2.01vs Predicted
-
18Brown University2.56-6.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.07Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
-
8.92University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
-
7.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
6.49Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
8.3Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
-
7.49Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
-
7.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
-
9.3Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
-
8.13Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
-
9.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
-
10.29Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
-
10.91University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
-
9.59University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
-
8.13Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
-
12.52Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
-
13.04Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
-
14.99Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
-
11.95Brown University2.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 11.0% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| William Macdonald | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Scott Houck | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% |
| Alex Ramos | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 4.9% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Eric Anderson | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 12.6% |
| Elise Gehling | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 16.9% |
| Colin Keil | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 40.9% |
| Timothy Harding | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.