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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Stefanos Pappas 22.7% 20.1% 13.8% 12.5% 10.5% 8.2% 6.1% 3.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Joe Seiffert 13.0% 11.3% 13.3% 11.9% 12.6% 10.9% 9.4% 9.0% 5.1% 2.9% 0.5%
Dawson Kohl 11.8% 13.5% 11.8% 11.8% 11.9% 10.8% 9.8% 8.3% 6.4% 3.5% 0.7%
Ayden Feria 4.7% 4.3% 4.5% 5.1% 6.2% 6.9% 9.3% 11.3% 15.8% 22.2% 9.6%
Charlie Eckert 5.4% 5.9% 7.2% 7.2% 8.6% 10.0% 11.5% 12.0% 13.6% 14.3% 4.5%
Brendan Jay 14.0% 14.8% 14.8% 12.7% 11.8% 10.5% 8.6% 6.9% 4.1% 1.7% 0.2%
Oliver West 7.6% 9.2% 10.9% 10.3% 10.1% 12.4% 9.9% 10.4% 9.8% 7.3% 2.1%
Beatriz Newland 8.1% 8.1% 8.1% 9.8% 8.9% 10.7% 12.0% 11.3% 12.1% 8.7% 2.2%
Zechariah Frantz 4.5% 4.5% 5.3% 6.7% 7.5% 7.5% 10.2% 11.2% 14.4% 19.4% 8.8%
Jack Adderley 7.7% 7.8% 8.8% 10.5% 10.1% 10.1% 11.1% 12.0% 11.2% 8.4% 2.4%
Abigail Hesterhagen 0.8% 0.6% 1.5% 1.5% 2.0% 2.0% 2.1% 3.5% 5.9% 10.9% 69.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.