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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+2.06vs Predicted
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2Washington College3.65+1.85vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.63+0.91vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College2.88+1.79vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.73+1.04vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.79+0.10vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia1.83+1.73vs Predicted
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8Princeton University2.30-0.75vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University0.80+2.66vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.61-0.65vs Predicted
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11Villanova University1.80-2.17vs Predicted
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12Drexel University1.75-3.09vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University0.98-1.88vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.10-0.27vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware-1.62+0.93vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-0.14-2.21vs Predicted
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17Columbia University-0.77-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.3%1st Place
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3.85Washington College3.650.2%1st Place
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3.91University of Pennsylvania3.630.2%1st Place
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5.79Ocean County College2.880.1%1st Place
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6.04Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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6.1U. S. Naval Academy2.790.1%1st Place
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8.73University of Virginia1.830.0%1st Place
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7.25Princeton University2.300.1%1st Place
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11.66Rutgers University0.800.0%1st Place
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9.35Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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8.83Villanova University1.800.0%1st Place
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8.91Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
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11.12Monmouth University0.980.0%1st Place
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13.73University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.100.0%1st Place
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15.93University of Delaware-1.620.0%1st Place
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13.79Penn State University-0.140.0%1st Place
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14.94Columbia University-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fletcher Sims | 25.2% | 21.1% | 18.0% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 17.4% | 17.0% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Halsey Richartz | 16.0% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Kennedy | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Allsopp | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Gill | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Gamber | 5.6% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ross Nuechterlein | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 16.3% | 17.9% | 9.9% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Victoria Miller | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Sayre | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joan Boyle | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Paul Luisi | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 16.9% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Byron Bell | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 17.1% | 22.1% | 19.5% | 8.9% |
| Adrienne Bourguet | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 10.4% | 18.1% | 58.8% |
| Jacob Snyder | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 18.6% | 22.3% | 19.8% | 7.8% |
| Ben Barczewski | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 17.1% | 32.9% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.