← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+7.60vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+9.55vs Predicted
-
3Boston University2.94+7.18vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College3.21+4.69vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University3.73+1.68vs Predicted
-
6Boston College3.73+0.70vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont2.55+4.57vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University3.41-0.12vs Predicted
-
9University of Michigan1.85+5.12vs Predicted
-
10Brown University3.01-0.09vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University2.05+2.51vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-5.10vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University3.60-5.88vs Predicted
-
14University of South Florida3.59-6.99vs Predicted
-
15Cornell University2.38-2.87vs Predicted
-
16Dartmouth College3.18-6.99vs Predicted
-
17Bowdoin College2.92-6.84vs Predicted
-
18Yale University3.05-8.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
-
11.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
-
10.18Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
-
8.69Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
-
6.68Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
-
6.7Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
-
11.57University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
-
7.88Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
-
14.12University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
-
9.91Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
13.51Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
-
6.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
-
7.12Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
-
7.01University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
-
12.13Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
-
9.01Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
-
10.16Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
-
9.31Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob La Dow | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Kayla Ellis | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% |
| Michael Saldi | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Connor Corgard | 10.4% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Steven Pelissier | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% |
| Dan Nickerson | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 17.2% | 28.8% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.5% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 24.6% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Nick Sertl | 9.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Sean Cornell | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 11.6% |
| Ian Storck | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| William Hawk | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.