← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.73+5.91vs Predicted
-
2Connecticut College3.21+7.04vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.41+5.20vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University3.60+3.19vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University3.73+1.71vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+0.61vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida3.59+0.25vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.92+1.91vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+2.36vs Predicted
-
10University of Michigan1.85+4.27vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont2.55+0.70vs Predicted
-
12Boston University2.94-1.67vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University2.05+0.24vs Predicted
-
14Yale University3.05-4.81vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College3.18-6.16vs Predicted
-
16Cornell University2.38-3.74vs Predicted
-
17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30-8.41vs Predicted
-
18Brown University3.01-8.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.91Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
-
9.04Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
-
8.2Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
-
7.19Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
-
6.71Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
-
6.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
-
7.25University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
-
9.91Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
-
11.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
-
14.27University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
-
11.7University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
-
10.33Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
-
13.24Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
-
9.19Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
8.84Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
12.26Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
-
8.59St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
-
9.4Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Sinks | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Dan Nickerson | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Connor Corgard | 9.5% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Sean Cornell | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| William Hawk | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| Kayla Ellis | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 15.4% | 33.0% |
| Steven Pelissier | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.1% |
| Michael Saldi | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 17.5% | 19.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Ian Storck | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 13.0% |
| Jacob La Dow | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.