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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.73+5.95vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.92+8.39vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.44+5.11vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+7.16vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.05+4.46vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.59+1.38vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+1.45vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.94+1.93vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.21-0.22vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.73-2.99vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.55+0.79vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-5.04vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.85+0.93vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.41-6.20vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.05-1.52vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.38-3.66vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.60-9.47vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.01-8.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.95Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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10.39Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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8.11Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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11.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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9.46Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.38University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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8.45St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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9.93Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
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8.78Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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7.01Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.79University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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6.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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13.93University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
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7.8Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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13.48Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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12.34Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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7.53Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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9.54Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Sinks | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| William Hawk | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Colin MURPHY | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Sean Cornell | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Jacob La Dow | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Michael Saldi | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Connor Corgard | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Steven Pelissier | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.4% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 15.7% | 29.3% |
| Dan Nickerson | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Victoria McGruer | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 15.8% | 22.3% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 12.9% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.