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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+7.79vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.73+5.00vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+3.84vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.01+5.69vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.44+2.96vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+3.62vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.94+3.12vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.73-1.23vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.41-0.96vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.60-2.40vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.55+0.83vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.38+0.72vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.59-5.70vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-2.87vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.85-0.81vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College3.21-7.00vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.92-6.69vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.41-5.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.79St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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7.0Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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9.69Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
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7.96Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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9.62Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.12Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
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6.77Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.04Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.6Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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11.83University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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12.72Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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7.3University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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11.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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14.19University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
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9.0Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.31Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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12.1Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob La Dow | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
| Colin MURPHY | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Michael Saldi | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.4% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Dan Nickerson | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Steven Pelissier | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 12.2% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 17.3% |
| Sean Cornell | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 16.5% | 29.7% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| William Hawk | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
| Camille Matile | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.