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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.94+9.23vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.73+4.94vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.60+4.54vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.21+4.72vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+1.63vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.41+2.08vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.73-0.20vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.01+1.60vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.92+1.09vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.59-2.42vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.05-1.31vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.38+0.62vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.55-1.57vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30-5.79vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.44-7.18vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-4.56vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.05-3.42vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.84-4.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.23Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
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6.94Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.54Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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8.72Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.08Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.8Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.6Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
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10.09Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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7.58University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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9.69Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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12.62Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.43University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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8.21St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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7.82Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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11.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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13.58Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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14.0University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Saldi | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 3.9% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% |
| Ty Ingram | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Dan Nickerson | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| William Hawk | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Sean Cornell | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 13.6% |
| Steven Pelissier | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% |
| Jacob La Dow | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Colin MURPHY | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 22.7% |
| Mason Wolters | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 27.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.