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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.73+5.97vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.41+6.27vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+5.71vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.94+5.83vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.01+4.62vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.44+1.94vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-0.39vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.59-0.70vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+2.37vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.05-0.21vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.73-4.04vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.38+0.57vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.21-4.32vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.60-6.95vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.92-4.97vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.05-2.39vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.84-2.73vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.55-6.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.97Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.27Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.71St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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9.83Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.62Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
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7.94Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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6.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.3University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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11.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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9.79Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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6.96Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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12.57Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.68Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.05Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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10.03Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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13.61Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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14.27University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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11.42University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Sinks | 8.7% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Dan Nickerson | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Jacob La Dow | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Michael Saldi | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Colin MURPHY | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.6% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Cornell | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 2.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 15.7% | 13.4% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| William Hawk | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% |
| Victoria McGruer | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 15.3% | 23.3% |
| Mason Wolters | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 16.2% | 31.4% |
| Steven Pelissier | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.