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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.63+2.90vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.73+4.10vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+0.13vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College2.88+1.81vs Predicted
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5Washington College3.65-1.19vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia1.83+2.89vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.61+2.30vs Predicted
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8Drexel University1.75+0.80vs Predicted
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9Columbia University-0.77+5.95vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.79-4.04vs Predicted
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11Penn State University-0.14+2.71vs Predicted
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12Princeton University2.30-4.65vs Predicted
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13Rutgers University0.80-1.41vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University0.98-2.83vs Predicted
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15Villanova University1.80-6.18vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.10-2.36vs Predicted
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17University of Delaware-1.62-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9University of Pennsylvania3.630.2%1st Place
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6.1Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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3.13St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.3%1st Place
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5.81Ocean County College2.880.1%1st Place
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3.81Washington College3.650.2%1st Place
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8.89University of Virginia1.830.0%1st Place
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9.3Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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8.8Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
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14.95Columbia University-0.770.0%1st Place
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5.96U. S. Naval Academy2.790.1%1st Place
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13.71Penn State University-0.140.0%1st Place
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7.35Princeton University2.300.0%1st Place
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11.59Rutgers University0.800.0%1st Place
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11.17Monmouth University0.980.0%1st Place
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8.82Villanova University1.800.0%1st Place
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13.64University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.100.0%1st Place
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16.07University of Delaware-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halsey Richartz | 16.9% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fletcher Sims | 25.1% | 20.3% | 18.1% | 14.2% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Kennedy | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 17.4% | 18.2% | 17.5% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Gill | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Joan Boyle | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Barczewski | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 34.3% | 21.7% |
| James Allsopp | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Snyder | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 24.9% | 18.8% | 9.1% |
| Mary Gamber | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ross Nuechterlein | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 16.3% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| Paul Luisi | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 18.1% | 13.8% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Sayre | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Byron Bell | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 18.6% | 22.8% | 18.4% | 6.3% |
| Adrienne Bourguet | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 9.0% | 18.4% | 60.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.