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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.41+7.28vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.73+4.93vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.94+7.26vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.55+7.53vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.73+1.78vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.44+1.94vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+1.48vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.92+2.02vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05+0.52vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-3.14vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.60-3.61vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.38+0.61vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.01-3.44vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-2.95vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.21-6.16vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.05-2.44vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.84-2.74vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida3.59-10.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.28Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.93Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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10.26Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
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11.53University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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6.78Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.94Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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8.48St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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10.02Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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9.52Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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6.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.39Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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12.61Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.56Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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11.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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8.84Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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13.56Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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14.26University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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7.13University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Nickerson | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michael Saldi | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% |
| Connor Corgard | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Colin MURPHY | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Jacob La Dow | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| William Hawk | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Ty Ingram | 11.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 13.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Victoria McGruer | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 16.4% | 22.4% |
| Mason Wolters | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 11.4% | 16.0% | 30.8% |
| Sean Cornell | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.